The penultimate day of the Endesa League Some things have been settled, but not all, and there is a lot at stake heading into the final round next weekend. The options for some equipment have been reduced in the same way that they have increased for others and even the seventeenth day will bring a direct duel for the leadership.
BAXI Manresa and Barcelona They have been the teams that have benefited the most from their own victories since the resolution of the last two places is in their hands. If they win, they will be teams of Cup and even losing they could get involved, especially the Manresawith a victory over their pursuers and an average of +56.
Casademont Zaragoza and, to a lesser extent, Baskonia and UCAM Murcia (the last two virtually out), they will have to win and wait for results.
Looking at the seeds, the Madrid is virtually in the group and La Laguna Tenerife, Joventut and Dreamland Gran Canaria They will play for the privileged position that remains. But on matchday 17 there will be a Unicaja – Valencia (Saturday 8:45 p.m.) that will not only decide first place in the Endesa League but will grant the benefit of playing directly on Thursday one of the semifinals of the Cup.
Two places for the Cup
7. BAXI Manresa (8-7)
Basket-average: +56 | Matchday 17: BAXI Manresa – Joventut Badalona
BAXI Manresa reaches the last day depending on itself to go to Gran Canaria: if it beats Joventut Badalona it qualifies for the Copa del Rey, without further calculations or mathematics.
If they lose the match, BAXI Manresa will still have options: they will go to Gran Canaria if Barça and/or Casademont Zaragoza lose; It’s worth it if one does it. And even if both win, they still have options: they would only be left out if they win and both overcome their basket-average, right now having an advantage of +5 over Barça and, more comfortably, of +26 over Casademont Zaragoza.
In summary, it is classified if:
Win
Or if he loses but Barça and/or Casademont Zaragoza also do so
Or if losing their match and winning Barça and Casademont Zaragoza, at most one team surpasses them in average.
You are left out of the Copa del Rey if:
If he loses, Barça and Casademont Zaragoza win and overcome the basket-average (both).
8. Barça (8-8)
Basket-average: +51 | Matchday 17: Barça – Surne Bilbao Basket
He has saved the first ‘match-ball’ and it can be said that he depends on himself to qualify. Play at home against Surne Bilbao in the Movistar+ ‘Partidazo’.
If they win their match against Surne Bilbao, they qualify if:
Casademont Zaragoza loses
Or if Casademont Zaragoza wins, the basket-average does not improve (right now +21 for the Blaugrana)
Or if Casademont Zaragoza wins and improves its average, BAXI Manresa loses and Barça surpasses it in the points differential (now +5 for those from Manresa).
If they lose their match against Surne Bilbao, they qualify if:
Casademont Zaragoza loses without overcoming the basket-average and both Baskonia and UCAM Murcia do not win and surpass them in the differential, now clearly favorable for the Blaugrana.
He will be out of the Copa del Rey if:
He loses his match and Casademont Zaragoza wins it
Either he loses, so does Casademont Zaragoza and surpasses him in the average, or Baskonia and/or UCAM Murcia win and surpass him in the differential.
Either Casademont Zaragoza wins, so does Casademont Zaragoza, overcoming the average, and BAXI Manresa wins or loses, staying ahead in the points difference.
9. Casademont Zaragoza (8-8)
Basket-average: +30 | Matchday 17: Coviran Granada – Casademont Zaragoza
He still has very real chances of qualifying for the Copa del Rey, although his average hurts him: right now he has -21 with Barça and -26 with BAXI Manresa. You will get the ticket in the following way:
It is classified if:
He wins his match against Coviran Granada and Barça loses it
Or they beat Coviran Granada and Barça too, overcoming the average. Or if Barça maintains its advantage in the average, BAXI Manresa loses and the Maños overtake it in points difference.
Or losing and Barça also doing so, overcoming the average and without being surpassed by Baskonia or UCAM Murcia, who would have to win and improve their point differential.
He will be out of the Copa del Rey if:
They lose their match and Barça wins or loses it, maintaining their advantage in average, or even beating Barça, Baskonia and/or UCAM Murcia win and beat them.
Either they win their match and Barça does so, maintaining their advantage in the average, and BAXI Manresa either wins or they lose without the hands getting ahead of them in the points difference.
10. Baskonia (7-9)
Basket-average: -23 | Matchday 17: Baskonia – Breogán River
His resounding defeat in Girona leaves him almost out of the Copa del Rey, but he maintains a mathematical thread of hope. Their options are to beat Río Breogán and lose Barça and Casademont Zaragoza and overcome their basket-average, which right now is favorable at 74 points for the Blaugrana and 53 for the Maños. They should also finish ahead of UCAM Murcia, either losing them or not surpassing them in the average.
11. UCAM Murcia (7-9)
Basket-average: -35 | Matchday 17: Leyma Coruña – UCAM Murcia
He has it virtually impossible with 7-9 and an average of -35, but he still has mathematical options. Their only possibility is to win and lose Barça and Casademont Zaragoza and overcome their basket-average, which right now is favorable at 86 points for the Blaugrana and 65 for the Maños. Oh, and that Baskonia does not win and ends up with a better differential than the Murcia team.
Leadership and seeds
Unicaja – Valencia Basket
Both are tied at the top of the table at 13-3, with Valencia Basket leading thanks to their +179 average. They are already mathematically seeded for the Copa del Rey, but the calendar holds a direct duel this Saturday: the winner will be the ‘winter champion’, leader at the end of the first round.
Being the leader at the end of the first round has an advantage for the Copa del Rey: it ensures that they play on Thursday and thus rest one more day if they advance to the semifinals.
3. Real Madrid (12-4)
Basket-average: +157 | Matchday 17: MoraBanc Andorra – Real Madrid
With his great basket-average he is virtually seeded and will certify this mathematically if he wins in Andorra or if, even losing, they do not win and are surpassed in average by La Laguna Tenerife and Joventut Badalona (both), whom he surpasses by more than 75 points on average.
4. Laguna Tenerife (11-5)
Basket-average: +64 | Matchday 17: La Laguna Tenerife – Bàsquet Girona
They arrive at the last day with an advantage to be seeded, but they should not be neglected since Joventut is equal in victories with only 1 point less in the average. That is, La Laguna Tenerife must win and Joventut must not make up that difference, or if they lose, the Catalans must also fall without recovering that difference and Dreamland Gran Canaria must either lose or, by winning, not be ahead in the points difference either. .
5. Joventut Badalona (11-5)
Basket-average: +63 | Matchday 17: BAXI Manresa – Joventut Badalona
Their good streak of victories gives them a chance to be seeded: they have the same victories as La Laguna Tenerife and only one point less in the average. Therefore, they will enter the top four if they win and the Tenerife team lose, but also if they win by two points more than La Laguna Tenerife. Even losing, they have options if the Laguneros also lose, overcoming the difference, and Dreamland Gran Canaria does not win and overcomes the 25 points that they now lead in the difference.
6. Dreamland Gran Canaria (10-6)
Basket-average: +38 | Matchday 17: Hiopos Lleida – Dreamland Gran Canaria
It is more complicated for them since they need to win the game, lose La Laguna Tenerife and Joventut, and overcome the basket-average of both. Right now the Catalans lead them by 25 points and the Tenerife people by 26.
